Volatile Capital Flows and Currency Risk
Short-term inflows can supercharge credit and asset prices, yet reverse overnight when risk appetite fades. The 2013 taper tantrum remains a cautionary tale: fragilities amplify when current account gaps and shallow local markets collide. Hedging is costly, but so is unhedged exposure when currencies lurch and debt service balloons.
Volatile Capital Flows and Currency Risk
Policy makers balance inflation control, growth, and exchange rate stability with finite credibility and reserves. Flexible regimes absorb shocks, but volatility hits import prices and household budgets. Sterilized interventions, macroprudential tools, and transparent communication help—yet confidence can hinge on timely action and independent, data-anchored decision-making.
Volatile Capital Flows and Currency Risk
At 3 p.m., a startup finally receives a dollar transfer; by 5 p.m., the parallel rate has already shifted. Payroll, cloud services, and inventory are priced in different currencies. The team huddles over spreadsheets, debating whether to hedge now or gamble on next week’s policy announcement.
Volatile Capital Flows and Currency Risk
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